Current global climate models (GCMs) support with high confidence the view that rising greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic forcings account for nearly all observed global surface warming—slightly ...

Fifty years into the project of modeling Earth’s future climate, we still don’t really know what’s coming. Some places are warming with more ferocity than expected. Extreme events are taking ...

Researchers have devised a way to improve the accuracy of climate change models for the Global South by integrating historical records kept by missionaries and other visitors. An international team ...

For over five decades, scientists have been striving to predict Earth's future climate. The progress has been remarkable, yet the task is daunting. As global warming accelerates, our ability to ...

Climate scientists are confronting a hard truth: some of the most widely used models are struggling to keep up with the pace and texture of real‑world warming. The physics at their core remains sound, ...

Computer models predict that hotter, drier conditions in North America will limit the growth of a fungus that normally curbs the spread of the spongy moth, an invasive species that has caused millions ...