The Treasury curve moved down 26 basis points at 2 years and down 9 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed to negative ...
The probability of the inverted yield curve ending by February 9, 2024, is 32.8%, compared to 20.4% last week. There is a 23.4% probability of negative 3-month bill rates by February 5, 2027. The ...
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