Abstract: This study proposed a risk assessment method based on Bayesian networks for complex system engineering with multiple types of work, strong concealment, and multiple uncertain factors.

We use Bayesian meta-analysis methods to estimate the impact of unconditional cash transfers (UCTs). Aggregating evidence from 115 studies of 72 UCT programs in middle and low income countries, we ...

Abstract: Assessing the failure of urban gas pipelines is crucial for identifying risk factors and preventing gas accidents that result in economic losses and casualties. Most previous studies on gas ...

Code for the paper "Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design for Implicit Models via Mutual Information", Bayesian Analysis 2021, https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.09379.

In this work, we develop a new framework for designing experiments that are robust to model misspecification through generalised Bayesian inference. This repository contains the files needed to ...