The ECMWF (European model) has shown a steady trend over the past few runs — dialing back rainfall totals for areas south and west of New York City while boosting totals across southern New England. This means the Mid-Atlantic and much of Pennsylvania will likely just see periods of rain and breezy winds, with many spots ending up under an inch or two. However, farther north and east — including Long Island, coastal Connecticut, Rhode Island, and much of Massachusetts — the model now paints 2-3
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